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The yield on German 10-year government bonds rose to 3.4482%, the highest level since April 2011.

2026-09-10

The yield on German 10-year government bonds rose to 3.4482%, the highest level since April 2011.

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2026-09-10

Prediction market Polymarket prices a Sep 25bp Fed hike at 54%; rate derivatives imply 63.6% — roughly a 10pp gap but same direction. Resilient employment, rising oil-driven inf risk and a hawkish Fed tilt have moved a Sep hike from tail risk to the

Prediction market Polymarket prices a Sep 25bp Fed hike at 54%; rate derivatives imply 63.6% — roughly a 10pp gap but same direction. Resilient employment, rising oil-driven inf risk and a hawkish Fed tilt have moved a Sep hike from tail risk to the primary market scenario. More than 50% odds do not guarantee a hike: markets still assign 36–47% probability of no change and any Fed decision could trigger re-pricing. Friday's inf release will be decisive; a REUTERS SURVEY shows 70% of economists expect no hike, underlining the lack of consensus between institutional forecasts and trading markets.
2026-09-10

U.S. Secretary of State Rubio said he will seek to provide Ecuador an additional US$45 mln in security funding and additional equipment.

U.S. Secretary of State Rubio said he will seek to provide Ecuador an additional US$45 mln in security funding and additional equipment.
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