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European Central Bank officials expect to further tighten policy in October.

2026-09-10

European Central Bank officials expect to further tighten policy in October.

Other News
2026-09-10

Markets price the probability of an ECB rate hike in October at over 50%.

Markets price the probability of an ECB rate hike in October at over 50%.
2026-09-10

MHA analyst Joe Nellis said the ECB’s expected further rate indications inf pressure has become structural and that Europe and the global economy are no longer facing only short-term inf shocks. He noted euro-area rates remain below the UK and US but

MHA analyst Joe Nellis said the ECB’s expected further rate indications inf pressure has become structural and that Europe and the global economy are no longer facing only short-term inf shocks. He noted euro-area rates remain below the UK and US but the gap is narrowing, which will squeeze households and firms. Nellis said the move appears necessary given Aug inf at 3.3% and oil back above $100/bbl. An orderly resolution of the Middle East conflict would ease some inf, but some longer-term effects would persist after hostilities end.
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