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U.S. 6-month Treasury auction bid-cover ratio 2.74 on Sep. 14, prior 2.88.
2026-09-14
U.S. 6-month Treasury auction bid-cover ratio 2.74 on Sep. 14, prior 2.88.
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2026-09-14
On September 11th, the Buffett Indicator (CSI 300 market capitalization/GDP) fell to 91.23%, having maintained a narrow range of fluctuation recently. The equity risk premium (ERP) of the CSI 300 Index, a stock-bond ratio indicator, was 5.72%, remain
On September 11th, the Buffett Indicator (CSI 300 market capitalization/GDP) fell to 91.23%, having maintained a narrow range of fluctuation recently. The equity risk premium (ERP) of the CSI 300 Index, a stock-bond ratio indicator, was 5.72%, remaining near the high level of August 15, 2025. From a longer-term perspective, this indicator has gradually moved from the lower end of its five-year fluctuation range towards the middle, suggesting that the current advantage of stocks relative to government bond yields has increased, returning to a neutral level. -------- Note: 1. The Buffett Indicator compares the total market capitalization of the stock market to GDP to determine whether the stock market is currently overvalued. Generally, 70-100% is considered a normal valuation; below this range is considered undervalued, and above is considered overvalued. 2. The risk premium (ERP) of the CSI 300 Index is mainly compared with the returns of the CSI 300 and the yield of government bonds. Statistics from the past 10 years show that this indicator has a clear inverse relationship with the stock index. Every time the stock market is in the bottom area, the risk premium exceeds 6%. That is, when ERP ≥ 6%, the stock market has investment value, while when ERP ≤ 4%, the stock market is often close to or at a stage high, the investment value is low, and there is even a risk of correction.
2026-09-14
The dollar rose to an 11-day high as expectations for a Fed rate hike and higher oil supported demand. After earlier strong US jobs data and a stronger-than-expected CPI last week, LSEG data showed money markets priced an 87% probability of a Fed hik
The dollar rose to an 11-day high as expectations for a Fed rate hike and higher oil supported demand. After earlier strong US jobs data and a stronger-than-expected CPI last week, LSEG data showed money markets priced an 87% probability of a Fed hike at Wednesday’s decision. Tighter Middle East tensions pushed oil higher, bolstering the dollar via safe-haven flows and the US's role as a petroleum exporter. The DXY index was up 0.3% intraday at 99.453; EUR/USD fell to 1.1549, a one-month low; GBP/USD slipped below 1.35, down about 0.2% on the day.
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