1. First rate hike in three years, 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. 2. Unanimous approval (July was 9-3). 3. Dot plot: Two rate hikes in 2026, no hikes in 2027, more hawkish than June's figure, more dovish than market expectations

2026-09-17

1. First rate hike in three years, 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. 2. Unanimous approval (July was 9-3). 3. Dot plot: Two rate hikes in 2026, no hikes in 2027, more hawkish than June's figure, more dovish than market expectations. (The June dot plot projected one rate hike in 2026 and one rate cut in 2027; prior to the decision, the market expected a total of four rate hikes by June 2027.) 4. Economic forecasts: Upward revision of economic forecasts for this year and next. 5. Inflation forecasts: Upward revision of this year's inflation and core inflation forecasts. 6. Unemployment rate forecasts: Downward revision of unemployment rate forecasts for 2026-2028. 7. Statement wording: The rate hikes will support a "more timely" return of inflation to the 2% target.