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The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note surged to 4.712%, its highest level since July 2024.

2026-09-17

The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note surged to 4.712%, its highest level since July 2024.

Other News
2026-09-16

A Pakistani military spokesperson reportedly stated that the new defense agreements reached with Saudi Arabia and Turkey will not affect Pakistan's strategic relationship with Iran. The agreements are defensive in nature and aim to achieve collective

A Pakistani military spokesperson reportedly stated that the new defense agreements reached with Saudi Arabia and Turkey will not affect Pakistan's strategic relationship with Iran. The agreements are defensive in nature and aim to achieve collective deterrence and regional stability.
2026-09-17

Market pricing and policy risk: Markets largely price a 25bp Fed hike in September, with a failure to raise seen as a significant dovish surprise. Vote dynamics: watch for dissent risk — the meeting could see votes for holding or for a larger 50bp in

Market pricing and policy risk: Markets largely price a 25bp Fed hike in September, with a failure to raise seen as a significant dovish surprise. Vote dynamics: watch for dissent risk — the meeting could see votes for holding or for a larger 50bp increase rather than a unanimous decision. Inflation narrative: how the FOMC frames energy’s contribution to inflation — as a temporary shock or more persistent — will shape whether any hike is viewed as one-off. Dot plot and rate path: if the Fed hikes 25bp, focus on whether the dot plot implies additional hikes this year and whether hikes resume in 2027; the June SEP showed one hike in 2026 and a cut in 2027. Projections and guidance: monitor whether the Fed again omits or alters forward-rate projections and whether the Summary of Economic Projections revises inflation, growth or unemployment forecasts to justify policy moves. Press‑conference topics likely to move markets: the rationale for any hike and whether more are planned; assessment of long-end yields and Treasury buyback/issuance operations; views on potential U.S.-Japan joint intervention in the yen; any private communications with the White House and potential public political reaction; the Fed’s view on AI-related risks; and progress on five Fed working groups.
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