Zhuochuang Info says sow culling accelerates in 2026 Q2–Q3, moving from low-efficiency toward high-efficiency sows; policy and market forces may extend the capacity-reduction cycle. Based on its assessment of sow stocks and productivity, total hog sl

2026-09-28

Zhuochuang Info says sow culling accelerates in 2026 Q2–Q3, moving from low-efficiency toward high-efficiency sows; policy and market forces may extend the capacity-reduction cycle. Based on its assessment of sow stocks and productivity, total hog slaughter in 2027 is likely to sit between 2025 and 2026 levels. Monthly supply-demand ratios are expected to decline gradually, with a larger drop after Q2. Using projected annual slaughter and pork consumption, Zhuochuang forecasts a 2027 annual average live-hog price of 12.0–12.5 yuan/kg, a cautiously optimistic outlook.