The probability of a Democratic sweep in both houses of Congress has risen to 66%. Is it finally time to factor the midterm elections into prices in October? But market divergence remains huge. How should gold and oil be priced? This article uses pro

2026-09-30

The probability of a Democratic sweep in both houses of Congress has risen to 66%. Is it finally time to factor the midterm elections into prices in October? But market divergence remains huge. How should gold and oil be priced? This article uses probability as a factor to help you break down how different markets will digest the impact of the elections.