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[Morning Closing of Treasury Bond Futures] The main contract for 2-year Treasury bond futures (TS) fell 0.01%, the main contract for 5-year Treasury bond futures (TF) fell 0.04%, the main contract for 10-year Treasury bond futures (T) fell 0.05%, and

2026-10-08

[Morning Closing of Treasury Bond Futures] The main contract for 2-year Treasury bond futures (TS) fell 0.01%, the main contract for 5-year Treasury bond futures (TF) fell 0.04%, the main contract for 10-year Treasury bond futures (T) fell 0.05%, and the main contract for 30-year Treasury bond futures (TL) fell 0.10%.

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2026-10-08

U.S. Treasury bonds are located in the "recession" quadrant of this asset allocation chart, exhibiting negative sensitivity to both economic growth and inflation. This position explains why U.S. Treasury bonds often provide protection when other asse

U.S. Treasury bonds are located in the "recession" quadrant of this asset allocation chart, exhibiting negative sensitivity to both economic growth and inflation. This position explains why U.S. Treasury bonds often provide protection when other assets in a portfolio underperform. The chart shows the historical reactions of different assets to news related to economic growth and inflation from January 1972 to June 2026. U.S. stocks, real estate, and the U.S. 60/40 stock/bond portfolio are clustered at the top of the chart, indicating that these assets are more dependent on strong economic growth. Commodities, energy stocks, and gold are skewed towards the inflation-sensitive side. U.S. Treasury bonds and global investment-grade bonds are located in the area opposite to stocks. Historical data shows that these bonds typically benefit when economic growth slows and inflationary pressures ease. Inflation-linked bonds are positioned closer to the center of the chart, providing another form of risk protection. It is important to note that the horizontal and vertical axes of the chart reflect partial correlation coefficients, not expected returns or future market forecasts. This chart highlights the characteristics of different assets' responses to macroeconomic changes, and no single asset can provide effective protection in all economic scenarios. True portfolio diversification lies in holding assets that can react differently to changes in the same economic environment.
2026-10-07

Brazilian presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro: A bill to shorten the workweek should be passed by vote after the election.

Brazilian presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro: A bill to shorten the workweek should be passed by vote after the election.
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