Musk anticipates the 14th Starship launch will take place in the next 4-6 weeks, around early to mid-November, with the goal of simultaneously capturing the Super Heavy booster and Starship's second stage via the launch tower's robotic arm at Starbase. Musk personally estimates the success rate at 50%-60% and has suggested that the 15th launch might reuse both stages. This timeline is later than Bernstein's previous expectations, but if the dual-stage recovery and subsequent reuse are realized, it will advance the verification of rapid reuse capabilities. Bernstein considers the orbital data center to be the most important component of SpaceX's valuation, and significantly expanding launch capacity requires the support of rapid reuse capabilities.
