Internationally:
1. Goldman Sachs: Global crude oil freight rates surge to $30 per barrel, with the Middle East shipping crisis exacerbating regional oil price divergence.
2. KKR: Bond market sell-off presents a good opportunity to lock in quality Asian credit assets.
3. 53 Bank: US inflation is expected to continue accelerating in September; gasoline is pushing up CPI, and diesel is exacerbating production-side inflation.
4. UOB: The upward momentum of the US dollar index is weakening, and it may enter a consolidation or mild correction phase in the short term.
5. RBC BlueBay: The US midterm elections are unlikely to influence the market; AI, inflation, and Fed policy are more crucial.
6. Russell Investments: The Fed may pause rate hikes in October and resume in December; higher-than-expected inflation remains a key risk.
7. Morgan Stanley: The Bank of Korea is expected to pause rate hikes in October, and may resume in November and the first quarter of next year.
8. BMI Financial Group: Raised its 2026 copper price forecast to $13,500, and expects it to rise to $17,000 by 2035. 9. French financial regulator: Soaring government bond yields will not threaten banking stability.
10. Sumitomo Mitsui Nikko Securities: The Bank of Japan needs to accelerate its interest rate hikes, expecting rates to rise to 1.75% by March next year.
11. BondBloxx Asset Management: US Treasury yields breaking through 5% is not abnormal; fiscal deficits and bond issuance scale push up term premiums.
Domestic:
1. CITIC Securities: Gold prices may bottom out, with the gold sector expected to lead the way.
2. Galaxy Securities: A super El Niño has formed, and soybean meal and other commodities are expected to perform strongly in the near term.
3. Huatai Securities: Peak season in the transportation sector will catalyze price improvements; focus on oil shipping and express delivery.
4. CITIC Securities: The securities sector has medium- to long-term investment value; recommend focusing on three main themes: technology investment banking, wealth management, and internationalization.
