[71.8% Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in October] According to CME's FedWatch Tool: The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by October is 71.8%, with a 28.2% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged by December is 7.2%, with a 67.4% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike and a 25.4% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike.