I. Greece
1. Indicators: Youth unemployment rate 21.4%; life satisfaction among those under 25 ranked last among 32 countries; 70% of respondents believed the government did not care about the people, risk score 71.3 (on par with France).
2. Latest Developments: Teachers went on strike in Athens and other cities on October 21, demanding higher wages and additional teaching staff; thousands of teaching positions remain vacant.
3. Risk Signals: This is a stress test, observing whether dissatisfaction with wages/public services will escalate into larger-scale social mobilization; no riots of the same scale as those in France have yet occurred.
II. Albania (Ranked 3rd, 66.4 points)
1. Indicators: Highest youth unemployment rate in the sample at 25.6%; highest proportion of NEETs (non-working, non-schooling youth) at 21%.
2. Trigger: Related to Jared Kushner's coastal development project, which sparked anti-corruption protests.
3. Demands: Student participation, demanding the resignation of Prime Minister Edi Rama.
III. Spain (65.8 points)
1. Indicator: Youth unemployment rate approaching 25% in 2025, the second highest in the sample.
2. Core Contradictions: Housing crisis (campaign protests in Puerta del Sol, triggered by the death of an elderly tenant due to soaring rent); teacher strikes (salary and class size issues).
3. Political Consequences: Emergency elections have been announced for November 29th.
IV. Italy (Youth Unemployment Rate 20.5%)
1. Areas of Public Discontent: Salaries, school resources, energy prices, public services.
2. Events: Demonstrations and clashes in Milan, 271 arrested; government deploys additional troops to Milan to maintain order.
V. Portugal (Youth Unemployment Rate > 20%)
1. Two types of street movements: large-scale union marches + sit-ins on housing issues.
VI. Belgium
1. Form of Conflict: Police-civilian clashes erupted surrounding student demonstrations.
VII. United Kingdom (65.1 points, 5th place)
1. Indicator: 14.3% of NEET (Not in Education, Employment, or Training) youth are represented, relatively high; no large-scale riots have occurred yet.
VIII. Romania (6th place)
1. Indicator: 80% of respondents believe the government doesn't care about the people, the highest percentage among all countries surveyed.
2. Current Situation: No large-scale protests have erupted.
IX. Germany (22nd place, relatively low pressure)
1. Indicator: Youth unemployment rate is only 6.9%, significantly better than Southern Europe.
2. Risk Characteristics: Quantitative indicators appear mild, but protests continue; the root of the conflict leans towards historical memory and public concerns about the country's social contract, not simply youth unemployment and inflation. 10. United States (for reference, ranked 3rd if included in the list)
1. Indicators: Youth unemployment rate 9.3% (significantly better than Southern Europe); high income inequality; weak political stability indicators; significant decline in youth life satisfaction since the late 2000s; 58% of the public believe the government does not care about them.
2. Social Characteristics: Experiences its own periodic protests, with widespread public discontent and social polarization.
(Source: Newsweek European Grievance Index; Sample: 32 European countries; Maximum score 100, higher scores indicate greater pressure from the lower classes leading to social unrest and protests.)
