Following the extension of the voting period in the Brazilian presidential election, data from the prediction platform Polymarket showed that the implied probability of incumbent President Lula winning the election has significantly increased to 36%,

2026-10-26

Following the extension of the voting period in the Brazilian presidential election, data from the prediction platform Polymarket showed that the implied probability of incumbent President Lula winning the election has significantly increased to 36%, while the implied probability of former president's son Flavio winning the election has decreased to 66%.