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India October economic report: effectiveness of recent rate hikes in containing second-round inflation depends on active liquidity management by the Reserve Bank of India.

2026-10-29

India October economic report: effectiveness of recent rate hikes in containing second-round inflation depends on active liquidity management by the Reserve Bank of India.

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2026-10-29

Bank of Korea voting member Hwang Kunil said the recent pace of Korean won appreciation has been slightly faster than expected and authorities should focus on exchange-rate volatility and the speed of moves rather than levels. He attributed the run-u

Bank of Korea voting member Hwang Kunil said the recent pace of Korean won appreciation has been slightly faster than expected and authorities should focus on exchange-rate volatility and the speed of moves rather than levels. He attributed the run-up to a surge in dollar inflows from global AI infrastructure spending, which has lifted demand for SK Hynix and Samsung specialty memory chips. He added that, after adjusting for Korea’s large current-account surplus and foreign-investor rebalancing, downward pressure on the exchange rate still exists.
2026-10-29

Markets largely expect the Fed to pause in October; a hike would be an unusual pre-election move. Two-to-three dissenting votes are possible, with a small subset of policymakers seen most likely to favor a raise. The policy statement is expected to r

Markets largely expect the Fed to pause in October; a hike would be an unusual pre-election move. Two-to-three dissenting votes are possible, with a small subset of policymakers seen most likely to favor a raise. The policy statement is expected to remain brief and data-dependent. Language stressing financial stability would be read as dovish; heightened focus on inflation or energy spillovers would be read as hawkish. Retaining wording about a timely return to target or adding stronger ‘act as necessary’ phrasing would signal remaining tightening scope. The post-decision press conference is expected to be concise and pragmatic with limited forward guidance. Market-relevant questions for the chair include whether he will call recent inflation prints—above expectations for two months—‘too high’ and demand a faster pace to return inflation to 2%; how a pause in October is reconciled with keeping December options open; the balance of emphasis between inflation and financial conditions; the signal from elevated then retracing US Treasury yields; interpretation of AI-driven equity selling and potential bubble risks; how midterm congressional shifts could affect Fed policy; updates on Fed working-group reforms; and the financial-stability risk of uncontrolled AI developments.
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