Hamzeh Alipour, an expert on Iranian international security issues, stated in an interview with Iran's Tasnim News Agency that, according to strategic analysis, Iran's expansion of the scope of its potential military response will fundamentally alter four basic judgments in the regional security landscape:
1. The United States: If the US realizes that Iran's response to military action will not be confined to its borders, it will have to broaden the scope of its cost-benefit assessments of military action.
This may prompt the US to be more cautious in making military decisions.
2. The Gulf states: Gulf states face a dilemma—maintaining defense cooperation with the US while avoiding becoming a battlefield.
The broader the scope of Iran's potential military response, the more sensitive these countries will be to the presence of foreign troops in their countries, driven by considerations of maintaining economic and political stability.
3. Israel: When conducting strategic assessments, Israel will have to consider the possibility of Iranian responses in multiple areas, potentially extending beyond the geographical area of direct confrontation. In this context,
Israel's threat assessment will no longer be limited to traditional models but must comprehensively consider multiple capabilities and deterrent factors. 4. Regarding the regional security landscape: Regional security will no longer be determined solely by bilateral relations, but will be influenced by a network of influence from state and non-state actors.
In this process, it is essential to distinguish between three levels: "political support," "strategic coordination," and "actual operational involvement," as their impacts on the West Asian (Middle Eastern) security landscape differ.
