Standard Chartered analysts Steve Englander and Dan Pan say the market’s key question is what US midterm results imply for policy over the next two years. They argue a sizable Democratic majority would likely still fall short of the margin needed to

2026-11-04

Standard Chartered analysts Steve Englander and Dan Pan say the market’s key question is what US midterm results imply for policy over the next two years. They argue a sizable Democratic majority would likely still fall short of the margin needed to overturn a presidential veto, so markets may see extensive policy debate but limited economic consequential action. They flag December 2026 budget talks and end-2027 debt-ceiling negotiations as potential triggers for renewed government shutdown and debt-default risk.