Negal Motawasi, a senior fellow at the Center for International Policy, a U.S. think tank, said that President Trump's increasingly conciliatory stance toward Iran reflects growing domestic political pressure and a changing situation in the Middle East.
"The Republican Party's crushing defeat, which Vice President Vance even blamed on the war, has significantly increased the political cost of further escalation," Motawasi said.
She believes the Democratic Party's success in the midterm elections has further strengthened the political forces opposing the conflict, including centrist leadership within the party.
"The Democratic 'blue wave,' driven by progressive and anti-war candidates, has rapidly forged a more resolute and unified anti-war stance within the party. Even centrist leaders like House Minority Leader Jeffries have begun to support efforts to end the war."
Motawasi also pointed out that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's influence is waning, despite previously being a key partner for Trump in the conflict. She added, "A diplomatic breakthrough is not guaranteed, but the increasing political and strategic costs of further escalation reduce the likelihood of a new war."
