Signs of persistent U.S. inflation pushed Treasury prices down and yields up; 2- to 5-year yields rose more than 10 bps after Tuesday's inflation release. Traders stepped up bets on further Fed tightening, pricing at least two rates hikes by mid-2027

2026-11-10

Signs of persistent U.S. inflation pushed Treasury prices down and yields up; 2- to 5-year yields rose more than 10 bps after Tuesday's inflation release. Traders stepped up bets on further Fed tightening, pricing at least two rates hikes by mid-2027 and a small probability of a 50-bp move in December. Fed governor Waller, speaking in London, said he would lean toward a 50-bp hike if inflation accelerates. Markets have fully priced a 25-bp Fed hike for December.