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Australia's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in August was 4.2%, in line with expectations of 4.20% and the previous value of 4.20%.

2025-09-18

Australia's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in August was 4.2%, in line with expectations of 4.20% and the previous value of 4.20%.

Other News
2025-09-18

1. Decision Background : Wednesday's data showed that UK inflation remained high at 3.8% in August, nearly double the Bank of England's 2% target. Services inflation remained elevated, while inflation expectations rose. Economic growth slowed in the

1. Decision Background : Wednesday's data showed that UK inflation remained high at 3.8% in August, nearly double the Bank of England's 2% target. Services inflation remained elevated, while inflation expectations rose. Economic growth slowed in the second quarter, with demand showing signs of weakness. 2. Interest Rate Level: The market generally expects the Bank of England to hold interest rates steady at 4% at this meeting. Focus will be on guidance for further easing this year. 3. Vote Split : The market expects a 7-2 vote to keep interest rates unchanged (compared to a 5-4 split in August), with Taylor and Dhingra dissenting (Taylor voted for a 50 basis point rate cut in August); Deputy Governor Ramsden may also join the dissenting vote. 4. Forward Guidance: The Bank of England stated in August that "the restrictiveness of monetary policy has decreased," which the market interpreted as hawkish. This meeting will highlight whether this statement appears again or is removed or weakened. 5. Quantitative Tightening : Due to heightened bond market volatility (earlier this month, 20- and 30-year gilt yields rose to their highest levels since 1998), the market expects the Bank of England to reduce its annual gilt reduction from £100 billion to £60 billion to £75 billion. It is also likely to limit sales of long-term gilts, favoring shorter-term bonds. 6. Market Expectations: Currently, the market generally expects the Bank of England to maintain interest rates unchanged this year, with a small chance of a 25 basis point cut. A sustained cycle of rate cuts will begin in 2026, with cumulative reductions of approximately 50 basis points.
2025-09-18

Fed dot plot: The median forecast for the long-term federal funds rate is 3.0%. (The forecast in June was 3.0%)

Fed dot plot: The median forecast for the long-term federal funds rate is 3.0%. (The forecast in June was 3.0%)
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