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2026-08-10

U.S. monthly net customs revenue rose to approximately $30 billion after tariff increases in 2025, but fell to a negative $25 billion in June 2026. This was because refunds following the Supreme Court's overturning of some IEEPA tariffs exceeded the

U.S. monthly net customs revenue rose to approximately $30 billion after tariff increases in 2025, but fell to a negative $25 billion in June 2026. This was because refunds following the Supreme Court's overturning of some IEEPA tariffs exceeded the amount of new tariffs imposed that month. However, refunds do not proportionally lower prices. The costs of previous tariffs have already been factored into commodity prices, so companies receiving refunds may not proactively lower prices. They are more likely to use the money to boost profits, pay off debt, repurchase shares, or invest. Bank of America also believes that, companies may reduce future price increases, but the possibility of significant price reductions in the short term is limited, and core PCE may still reach 3.1% by the end of the year. Therefore, this money is more like fiscal easing for corporate profits and cash flow: Hartnett estimates that the approximately $35 billion in profit improvement in the past three months is offsetting the $75 billion in profit losses caused by last year's tariffs. Only when tariff rates continue to decline and companies convert refunds into price reductions will there be a significant deflationary effect; if refunds are mainly used for investment and shareholder returns, the result will be that growth and asset prices are supported, while fiscal deficits and long-term debt supply pressures increase. The Atlanta Federal Reserve estimates that only about $56 billion of the $166 billion in refunds will go to companies with tighter financing constraints that may be able to quickly adjust their investments, hiring, or pricing.
2026-08-10

[Futures Hot Topic Tracking] Stalled negotiations trigger a rebound in geopolitical risk premiums, leading to a continued rise in crude oil futures. How much higher can SC crude oil rise under supply bottlenecks? Click to read.

[Futures Hot Topic Tracking] Stalled negotiations trigger a rebound in geopolitical risk premiums, leading to a continued rise in crude oil futures. How much higher can SC crude oil rise under supply bottlenecks? Click to read.
2026-08-10

AI-driven demand has pushed memory prices per GB back near 2007 levels, effectively erasing about two decades of price declines, Daniel Lemire, a computer science professor in Quebec, said, calling it a rare industry anomaly. A Stanford DAM project p

AI-driven demand has pushed memory prices per GB back near 2007 levels, effectively erasing about two decades of price declines, Daniel Lemire, a computer science professor in Quebec, said, calling it a rare industry anomaly. A Stanford DAM project price series shows DDR5 trading at $11.41–13.28 per GB (about 77–90 yuan/GB), overlapping DDR2 price bands from around 2008; on an inflation-adjusted basis the series is roughly back to 2011 DDR3 levels.
2026-08-10

Hong Kong-listed livestock sector strengthened; COFCO Joycome (01610.HK) rose over 4%, while Muyuan Foods (02714.HK) and Dekang Agribusiness (02419.HK) also gained.

Hong Kong-listed livestock sector strengthened; COFCO Joycome (01610.HK) rose over 4%, while Muyuan Foods (02714.HK) and Dekang Agribusiness (02419.HK) also gained.
2026-08-10

Hong Kong-listed livestock farming stocks rallied, with COFCO Jiajiakang (01610.HK) rising over 4%, and Muyuan Foods (02714.HK) and Dekang Agriculture (02419.HK) following suit.

Hong Kong-listed livestock farming stocks rallied, with COFCO Jiajiakang (01610.HK) rising over 4%, and Muyuan Foods (02714.HK) and Dekang Agriculture (02419.HK) following suit.
2026-08-10

China A-share paper sector spiked intraday; Yibin Paper hit the daily limit, while Qifeng New Material, Hengfeng Paper, Senlin Packaging, Minfeng Special Paper and Hengda New Material also rose.

China A-share paper sector spiked intraday; Yibin Paper hit the daily limit, while Qifeng New Material, Hengfeng Paper, Senlin Packaging, Minfeng Special Paper and Hengda New Material also rose.
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