On July 16, Iran's embassy in Lebanon said the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen due to US pressure and will only resume navigation under "conditions set by Iran." The statement said the United States must accept this reality and that the dispute can be resolved either through dialogue or by accepting that Iranian military force will compel compliance with those conditions.

2026-07-16

On July 16, Iran's embassy in Lebanon said the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen due to US pressure and will only resume navigation under "conditions set by Iran." The statement said the United States must accept this reality and that the dispute can be resolved either through dialogue or by accepting that Iranian military force will compel compliance with those conditions.

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2026-07-15

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh told a Senate hearing he is "not satisfied with any inf indicator", saying recent data may not fully reflect underlying inf. He said the labor market looks strong but inf is less encouraging, and the Fed will review its tools — including the balance sheet and rates — to assess whether adjustments are needed to address inf.

2026-07-16

IMF发布报告,将美伊这场战争与现代史上所有重大石油危机进行了比较。从图中可以看出,从供应损失规模来看,当前中东战争造成的累计原油供应中断已超过了过去几十年的所有重大石油危机。具体来看: -俄乌战争:供应减少约1亿桶 -伊拉克战争:供应减少约4亿桶 -1973年石油危机:供应减少约5亿桶 -伊朗伊斯兰革命:供应减少约7亿桶 -海湾战争:供应减少约15亿桶 当前美伊战争导致原油供应减少已达23亿桶,而且仍在继续扩大。目前原油价格尚未完全反映这一供应冲击。原因在于:①全球需求受到抑制;②海湾地区以外的原油增产弥补了部分缺口;③各国持续动用商业和战略石油库存缓冲了供应不足。但IMF警告,这些缓冲因素已明显减弱,缓冲空间已所剩无几。