CITIC Securities says retail leverage in South Korean equities has been rapidly
unwound but risks remain. Brokerage margin balances fell 10% in a single day on
July 31 — the largest drop this year — indicating on-exchange leverage is still
being cut quickly. Retail forced liquidations on July 30–31 exceeded 100 bln won
per day; the liquidation rate remains about 7–8%, well above the roughly 1%
level seen in stable markets. Korea’s stabilization fund is limited in size and
National Pension Service intervention carries moral hazard. CITIC expects market
volatility to remain relatively elevated.