德国10年期国债收益率8月31日盘中触及3.31%,创2011年以来新高,距当年约3.49%的阶段高位不足20个基点。随后公布的数据显示,德国8月CPI同比升至2.9%,其中能源价格上涨10.5%,核心通胀则降至2.4%,说明近期通胀压力主要来自能源冲击。 本轮德债下跌还叠加了油价上涨、全球长债抛售,以及德国基建、国防支出和发债规模扩张。德债是欧元区资产定价基准,收益率长期处于高位将抬升政府与企业融资成本,并提高股票估值的折现率。即使能源通胀随后回落,更大的国债供给与期限溢价也可能令零利率、负利率时代难以重现。

2026-08-31

德国10年期国债收益率8月31日盘中触及3.31%,创2011年以来新高,距当年约3.49%的阶段高位不足20个基点。随后公布的数据显示,德国8月CPI同比升至2.9%,其中能源价格上涨10.5%,核心通胀则降至2.4%,说明近期通胀压力主要来自能源冲击。 本轮德债下跌还叠加了油价上涨、全球长债抛售,以及德国基建、国防支出和发债规模扩张。德债是欧元区资产定价基准,收益率长期处于高位将抬升政府与企业融资成本,并提高股票估值的折现率。即使能源通胀随后回落,更大的国债供给与期限溢价也可能令零利率、负利率时代难以重现。

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2026-09-01

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2026-08-31

Chinese fiber-optic manufacturers report all production lines have run at full capacity this year; sales of some models are up 3–5x YoY. A newly topped-out smart manufacturing base will double output capacity when commissioned. Several firms say order books already extend up to one year. A single preform can produce over 20,000 km of fiber, supporting high per-unit output.