US August unadjusted CPI YoY prior 3.4%; institutional median forecast 3.4% YoY. Broad clustering at 3.3–3.4%, with ING at the high end (3.5%). US August unadjusted core CPI YoY prior 2.5%; institutional median forecast 2.4% YoY. Forecasts cluster 2.3–2.5%: Citi, Jefferies, TD and U.S. Bank at 2.3%; Scotiabank and Sparta Capital at 2.5%; most major houses (including Barclays, BofA, Goldman, JPM, Morgan Stanley, UBS, HSBC) at 2.4%.

2026-09-11

US August unadjusted CPI YoY prior 3.4%; institutional median forecast 3.4% YoY. Broad clustering at 3.3–3.4%, with ING at the high end (3.5%). US August unadjusted core CPI YoY prior 2.5%; institutional median forecast 2.4% YoY. Forecasts cluster 2.3–2.5%: Citi, Jefferies, TD and U.S. Bank at 2.3%; Scotiabank and Sparta Capital at 2.5%; most major houses (including Barclays, BofA, Goldman, JPM, Morgan Stanley, UBS, HSBC) at 2.4%.