Prediction-market platform Polymarket is investigating a series of well-timed, highly profitable trades executed during this week’s Israeli election. Ledger analysis shows hundreds of new accounts placed bets on Netanyahu and the Likud bloc just before polls closed on Tuesday; those positions quickly moved into profit. After partial exit polls indicated Likud would win more seats than early reports suggested, some of the involved accounts collectively cashed out more than $100,000. The episode r

2026-10-29

Prediction-market platform Polymarket is investigating a series of well-timed, highly profitable trades executed during this week’s Israeli election. Ledger analysis shows hundreds of new accounts placed bets on Netanyahu and the Likud bloc just before polls closed on Tuesday; those positions quickly moved into profit. After partial exit polls indicated Likud would win more seats than early reports suggested, some of the involved accounts collectively cashed out more than $100,000. The episode raises further concerns about potential insider-trading risk in prediction markets.