Prediction-market platform Polymarket is investigating a series of well-timed,
highly profitable trades executed during this week’s Israeli election. Ledger
analysis shows hundreds of new accounts placed bets on Netanyahu and the Likud
bloc just before polls closed on Tuesday; those positions quickly moved into
profit. After partial exit polls indicated Likud would win more seats than early
reports suggested, some of the involved accounts collectively cashed out more
than $100,000. The episode raises further concerns about potential
insider-trading risk in prediction markets.