根据1990年以来九次美国中期选举的历史价格数据统计，标普500指数在选举日收盘至次日收盘期间，六次涨跌幅不足1%，整体波动通常较为温和，VIX指数也往往在选举后回落，与当前期权市场隐含的温和波动预期大致一致。不过，历史表现存在明显例外：2018年中期选举后，标普500次日上涨2.1%；2022年则下跌2.1%。此外，1990年也曾下跌1.8%。不过九次选举的样本量有限，各次选举所处的宏观和政策环境也不相同，刻舟求剑之举仅作参考，实际走势仍有待观察。

10-year JGB futures pared gains after the Bank of Japan decision and are up 0.34 point on the day.

Shenghong Technology shares opened sharply lower and fell more than 12% today after the company’s Q3 results. Third-quarter revenue was 6.831 billion yuan, up 34.3% YoY, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 527 million yuan, down 52.2% YoY and down about 66% QoQ from 1.568 billion yuan in Q2—creating a clear divergence between revenue growth and earnings. The company said part of the profit decline reflects non-recurring gains/losses from equity investments tied to partner A‑share and Hong Kong IPO projects: those investments showed unrealized gains in Q2 but produced unrealized losses in Q3. Shenghong said it still holds some related equity at the end of Q3 and made the investments to reinforce industrial partnerships and support listings, including where partners participated in the company’s Hong Kong project.