Markets expect US May headline CPI 4.2% YoY (Apr 2.4%), 0.5% MoM — the first print above 4% since May 2023 and the highest since Apr 2023. The headline rise is driven primarily by energy after the Iran-related Middle East conflict; core CPI ex-food and energy is seen at 2.9% YoY, 0.3% MoM. Charles Schwab Wealth Management chief strategist Sanders says inflation is not just an oil problem but also reflects monetary supply and factors increasingly linked to AI, raising the risk of persistent infla

Markets expect US May headline CPI 4.2% YoY (Apr 2.4%), 0.5% MoM — the first print above 4% since May 2023 and the highest since Apr 2023. The headline rise is driven primarily by energy after the Iran-related Middle East conflict; core CPI ex-food and energy is seen at 2.9% YoY, 0.3% MoM. Charles Schwab Wealth Management chief strategist Sanders says inflation is not just an oil problem but also reflects monetary supply and factors increasingly linked to AI, raising the risk of persistent inflation; she warns a stronger-than-expected print would pressure equities. The Trump administration expects inflation to fall once Middle East fighting eases, but Sanders cautions supply damage may prevent oil from reverting quickly to prior lows even if the conflict ends.