US intelligence agencies assess a new round of strikes against Iran is unlikely
to have a material impact on Tehran or to soften its negotiating position,
current and former officials say. Analysts say Washington and Tehran are trapped
in an indefinite wartime/peacetime stalemate as tit‑for‑tat actions grow more
deadly; the assessment is presented as a synthesis of all available classified
human and technical intelligence plus open‑source information, not as a specific
prediction.
