CENC recorded a magnitude-3.6 earthquake at 14:57 on Aug 12 in Xinghai County, Hainan Prefecture, Qinghai (35.39N, 99.53E); focal depth 10 km.

Commerzbank analysts Charlie Lay and Henry Hao say markets have repriced the odds of an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, supporting Brent and WTI. Iran says the strait will remain closed until its conditions are met; mixed signals suggest talks are ongoing but a near-term deal to restore normal shipping appears unlikely. Security incidents remain elevated: a US Navy helicopter fired on a vessel attempting to breach a US blockade of Iranian ports, and separate merchant-vessel incidents were reported in the Gulf of Oman and off Yemen’s Red Sea coast. European diesel has surged after refinery disruptions elsewhere, tightening product markets. July’s energy-led drop helped ease headline inflation, but the recent oil rebound raises upside risk to US inflation in coming months.

美國國家颶風中心：未來48小時內，靠近佛得角羣島的風暴有80%的可能性發展成爲氣旋。