Most institutional forecasters cluster around a 4.1% US unemployment rate for August (prior 4.1%). A minority expect 4.0% (Moody's, Nomura). A separate group pegs the rate at 4.2% (Citigroup, Jefferies, ING, ABN AMRO, Standard Chartered, Banco Santander, Scotiabank, UBS). Reuters consensus: 4.1%.

2026-09-04

Most institutional forecasters cluster around a 4.1% US unemployment rate for August (prior 4.1%). A minority expect 4.0% (Moody's, Nomura). A separate group pegs the rate at 4.2% (Citigroup, Jefferies, ING, ABN AMRO, Standard Chartered, Banco Santander, Scotiabank, UBS). Reuters consensus: 4.1%.