Morgan Stanley China chief economist Xing Ziqiang said recent rate increases
have led his team to revise forecasts to expect one hike in December this year
and another in March next year. He said they will closely monitor how rate moves
could affect global liquidity. Conversations with overseas investors show
stronger demand for China’s tech sector and other areas with improving cyclical
momentum; he cautioned that such industrial waves raise productivity but can
disrupt employment and incomes, requiring preparation to manage those shocks.