歐洲央行管委科赫爾：市場突然回調、地緣政治是主要風險。

EIA in its latest Short‑Term Energy Outlook said Middle East oil supply will remain constrained into Q4 2026, though September production shut‑ins fell to the lowest level since the conflict as increased escorting through the Strait of Hormuz, rerouting and ship‑to‑ship transfers support an overall rebound in Middle East output and exports. US diesel remains tight: East Coast distillate stocks in September were 32% below the five‑year average and are expected to be about 20% below the five‑year average this winter, only gradually approaching the average in H2 next year. EIA projects the 2027 Henry Hub spot average at $3.16/MMBtu, down 9% YoY. US households heating with natural gas and propane are forecast to see lower winter heating spending, while heating‑oil households’ spending is expected to rise about 21%. The outlook incorporates the US Sept 29 announcement to swap 40 mln barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve but excludes possible additional releases announced by the G7 on Oct 2.

塔斯社：俄羅斯莫斯科州一倉庫遭無人機襲擊後起火。