China's next domestic refined-fuel price window opens at 24:00 on Oct 29; the pricing cycle runs from 24:00 on Oct 15 to 24:00 on Oct 29. Several market analysts expect an upward adjustment, citing sustained Middle East tensions — US‑Iran standoff and Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia — that bolster crude risk premia. Brent has remained above $100/bbl, keeping international crude high; the domestic crude-change rate for this cycle is increasingly positive, implying a higher probability and larger m

China's next domestic refined-fuel price window opens at 24:00 on Oct 29; the pricing cycle runs from 24:00 on Oct 15 to 24:00 on Oct 29. Several market analysts expect an upward adjustment, citing sustained Middle East tensions — US‑Iran standoff and Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia — that bolster crude risk premia. Brent has remained above $100/bbl, keeping international crude high; the domestic crude-change rate for this cycle is increasingly positive, implying a higher probability and larger magnitude of a fuel-price increase. Year-to-date China has had 20 adjustments (13 up, 5 down, 2 neutral); a rise in this round would make 2026’s tally 14 up, 5 down, 2 neutral.