U.S. media projected on Nov. 3 that Democrats would score a large midterm win and retake control of both chambers. Republican House Speaker Johnson said that over the past 90 years the incumbent president’s party has only twice added or held seats within the first two years of a term, and "the historical pattern seems set to continue tonight." He warned Democrats turning the next two years into "revenge, legal battles and partisan infighting" would harm Americans, and said House Republicans woul

Neil Shearing, chief economist at Capital Economics, says a Democratic sweep of both chambers in the US midterms could raise geopolitical risk. The result may prompt President Trump to assert authority and seek a foreign-policy legacy, increasing the likelihood of moves in the Middle East/Iran and on Russia‑Ukraine. Shearing adds congressional probes are likely to constrain his domestic agenda, increasing the incentive to pivot to foreign affairs; midterm losses may limit domestic policy but would not substantially curb his ability to shape US foreign policy. The risk is that Trump’s final two years become a period of heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

2026年11月3日，A股市場中，換手率低於3%的股票佔比9日均線降至67.21%，換手率高於5%的股票佔比9日均線升至15.95%。換手率均線所反映的交投活躍度已連續6個交易日回暖。高換手率股票佔比的9日均線低於17%參考閾值。