The CEO of Trafigura India, a global commodities trading giant, said that India's oil demand will approach 9 million barrels per day by 2050.

The main Shanghai gold futures contract surged 8.00% intraday, currently trading at 1250.52 yuan/gram.

New Voting Members for 2026: More Neutral 1. Hawkish: Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari: ① Interest Rate Bias: It's too early to cut rates now. A rate cut may be possible later this year. Interest rates may have reached "neutral." ② Inflation/Employment Stance: Inflation has been above the 2% target for many years and is likely to remain at this level for the next two to three years. Optimistic about the economic growth outlook. 2. Hawkish: Cleveland Fed President Hammark: ① Interest Rate Bias: Favors keeping interest rates stable until spring. More inclined to take a slightly tighter stance. ② Inflation/Employment Stance: Inflation will not return to the 2% target for another year or two after 2026; inflation risks are more concerning than the risks of a labor market downturn. 3. Hawkish: Dallas Fed President Logan: ① Interest Rate Bias: Logan stated last November that the pace of further rate cuts should be cautiously slowed. Recent public statements have been relatively few. ② Inflation/Employment Stance: Inflation remains high; the labor market is broadly balanced. 4. Neutral to Dovish: Philadelphia Fed President Paulson: ① Interest Rate Bias: No rush to cut rates now; rates are slightly above neutral; likely to favor a moderate rate cut later this year. ② Inflation/Employment Stance: Expects meaningful progress towards the 2% target by the end of the year; risks to the labor market are “slightly higher” than the risk of persistent inflation. Withdrawal from Voting Positions: Hawks Exit 1. Hawkish: Kansas City Fed President Schmid: ① Interest Rate Bias: Voted against rate cuts in December; advocates maintaining a conservative interest rate. ② Inflation/Employment Stance: Inflationary pressures remain significant; the labor market is “basically balanced.” 2. Hawkish: Boston Fed President Collins: ① Interest Rate Bias: Voted in favor of a rate cut in December, but called it a “very close decision”; the threshold for further rate cuts is high. ② Inflation/Employment Stance: Has been concerned about excessively high inflation and the prolonged period of inflation above the Fed’s target. 3. Hawkish: St. Louis Fed President Mossallem: ① Interest Rate Bias: Voted in favor of a rate cut in December; no reason for further rate cuts in the near term. ② Inflation/Employment Stance: Inflation remains above target; the risk lies in the second-order effects. 4. Short-Term Hawkish: Chicago Fed President Goolsby: ① Interest Rate Bias: Voted against a rate cut in December, arguing for more data; interest rates may fall significantly over the next year. ② Inflation/Employment Stance: Focus should be placed on reducing inflation; economic growth is stable, and the labor market has only cooled slightly.