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Convera's George Vessey said the 2016 Brexit referendum has had a lasting impact on sterling. Since the vote, GBP/EUR has averaged 1.16 versus 1.27 in the prior decade, and GBP/USD has averaged 1.30 versus 1.60 previously. Vessey says sterling's mark

2026-06-15

Convera's George Vessey said the 2016 Brexit referendum has had a lasting impact on sterling. Since the vote, GBP/EUR has averaged 1.16 versus 1.27 in the prior decade, and GBP/USD has averaged 1.30 versus 1.60 previously. Vessey says sterling's market behavior has structurally changed: it is now more sensitive to global risk appetite, protection against sterling moves has become more expensive, and the currency exhibits a persistent downside tilt.

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2026-06-15

Ben May and Bridget Payne at Oxford Economics said the U.S.-Iran agreement reduces the risk that sustained declines in oil inventories would trigger a global energy-price shock and recession, though risks remain. They said the deal does not automatic

Ben May and Bridget Payne at Oxford Economics said the U.S.-Iran agreement reduces the risk that sustained declines in oil inventories would trigger a global energy-price shock and recession, though risks remain. They said the deal does not automatically mean oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz will recover faster than previously assumed — they had expected transit to resume by end-July — and their near‑term oil‑price forecasts still look high. They added that reopening the strait is likely to ease inflation but provide only limited support to growth, reinforcing their view that the Fed and Bank of England will not further hike and that other central banks that have finished tightening are unlikely to resume hikes.
2026-06-15

Hang Seng Index futures opened the day session up 1.1% at 24,976, trading a 265-point premium to the cash market.

Hang Seng Index futures opened the day session up 1.1% at 24,976, trading a 265-point premium to the cash market.
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