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Federal Reserve Bank of Barkin: I am torn between two views – on the one hand, inflation has exceeded the target level for more than five years; on the other hand, inflation has surged in two different phases and is now slowing down.

2026-08-13

Federal Reserve Bank of Barkin: I am torn between two views – on the one hand, inflation has exceeded the target level for more than five years; on the other hand, inflation has surged in two different phases and is now slowing down.

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2026-08-13

Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TSLombard, argues that current U.S. policy constraints go beyond simply whether to raise rates again in September. Expanding fiscal deficits and interest payments are making it increasingly costly for short-term

Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TSLombard, argues that current U.S. policy constraints go beyond simply whether to raise rates again in September. Expanding fiscal deficits and interest payments are making it increasingly costly for short-term interest rates to rise significantly; simultaneously, long-term Treasury bonds face pressure from fiscal financing and rising term premiums. Therefore, the Treasury and the Federal Reserve effectively need to address both short-term financing costs and long-term yields simultaneously. The current approach involves the Treasury reducing long-term supply, the Federal Reserve maintaining policy rate stability, and shifting some maturing balance sheet funds to short-term debt, thus helping the government rely more on short-term financing. However, a longer-term dilemma lies in the inability to raise short-term rates indefinitely, while long-term rates cannot be artificially suppressed indefinitely. Allowing a steeper yield curve and rising term premiums would suppress stock valuations and capital expenditures; continuing to prioritize growth could ultimately lead to higher inflation and a weaker dollar.
2026-08-13

On the 13th an adviser to Iran's supreme leader posted on social media that if Iran's conditions are not met the supreme leader has made a strategic decision to respond by escalating the conflict. He said recent events show the United States lack the

On the 13th an adviser to Iran's supreme leader posted on social media that if Iran's conditions are not met the supreme leader has made a strategic decision to respond by escalating the conflict. He said recent events show the United States lack the ability to protect its Persian Gulf allies and advance the "Hormuz Economic Security Mechanism" as the most durable path to a new regional order and to reduce reliance on U.S. military guarantees.
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