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Bank of Canada meeting minutes: Policymakers also discussed the size of excess capacity in the economy.

2026-09-17

Bank of Canada meeting minutes: Policymakers also discussed the size of excess capacity in the economy.

Other News
2026-09-17

1. First rate hike in three years, 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. 2. Unanimous approval (July was 9-3). 3. Dot plot: Two rate hikes in 2026, no hikes in 2027, more hawkish than June's figure, more dovish than market expectations

1. First rate hike in three years, 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. 2. Unanimous approval (July was 9-3). 3. Dot plot: Two rate hikes in 2026, no hikes in 2027, more hawkish than June's figure, more dovish than market expectations. (The June dot plot projected one rate hike in 2026 and one rate cut in 2027; prior to the decision, the market expected a total of four rate hikes by June 2027.) 4. Economic forecasts: Upward revision of economic forecasts for this year and next. 5. Inflation forecasts: Upward revision of this year's inflation and core inflation forecasts. 6. Unemployment rate forecasts: Downward revision of unemployment rate forecasts for 2026-2028. 7. Statement wording: The rate hikes will support a "more timely" return of inflation to the 2% target.
2026-09-16

JPMorgan's "long software, short semiconductor" basket surged 12.1% on Tuesday, marking its largest single-day gain ever, reflecting a dramatic shift in AI-related trading. Market concerns about a slowdown in the training pace of cutting-edge AI mode

JPMorgan's "long software, short semiconductor" basket surged 12.1% on Tuesday, marking its largest single-day gain ever, reflecting a dramatic shift in AI-related trading. Market concerns about a slowdown in the training pace of cutting-edge AI models led to a shift of funds from some AI infrastructure and long-cycle semiconductor equipment to software, cybersecurity, large cloud platforms, and lagging AI stocks. However, it's important to note that a "slowdown" in cutting-edge AI R&D does not equate to a halt in training. More stringent security, alignment, and third-party evaluations may actually require more computing power. Therefore, this is more of a scenario reassessment than a confirmed decline in AI computing power demand. (The above views are from a JPMorgan report dated September 15th.)
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