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China A-shares strengthened into the midday close. Shanghai Composite rose 0.55%, Shenzhen Composite 0.57% and the ChiNext Index 0.93%; ChiNext spiked above 1.6% early before paring gains. Turnover across the two markets topped 1.3 trillion yuan and

2026-09-21

China A-shares strengthened into the midday close. Shanghai Composite rose 0.55%, Shenzhen Composite 0.57% and the ChiNext Index 0.93%; ChiNext spiked above 1.6% early before paring gains. Turnover across the two markets topped 1.3 trillion yuan and more than 4,300 stocks advanced. The pharmaceutical sector led gains as innovative drug and CRO names rallied; cinema chains, humanoid-robot and travel stocks were also active. Precious metals-related stocks lagged.

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2026-09-21

An industry official expects India's 2025/26 palm oil imports to rise 5.5% to 8.0 mln mt.

An industry official expects India's 2025/26 palm oil imports to rise 5.5% to 8.0 mln mt.
2026-09-21

Societe Generale's model shows an 88% probability of Democrats winning the House of Representatives; a 54% probability of Republicans retaining the Senate; a 44% probability of Democrats winning both houses; and a 43% probability of a "divided Congre

Societe Generale's model shows an 88% probability of Democrats winning the House of Representatives; a 54% probability of Republicans retaining the Senate; a 44% probability of Democrats winning both houses; and a 43% probability of a "divided Congress" (Democrats controlling the House, Republicans controlling the Senate), both almost equally likely. Senate: Currently, Republicans control the Senate 53-47. In this election with 35 seats up for grabs, Republicans need to retain 22 seats, while Democrats only need a net gain of 4 seats to overturn the outcome. The market forecasts favor Democratic victories in Texas and Alaska more than Societe Generale's model. Policy Impact: If Democrats control both houses, budget appropriations and presidential nomination confirmations (officials, judges, etc., require Senate approval) will be more difficult, increasing the risk of a government shutdown due to lack of funds. In a divided Congress, the debt ceiling (the legal limit on how much the government can borrow) will need to be negotiated, tariff policy will remain largely unchanged, but the Democratic-controlled House will increase oversight and investigation of the government. Voter concerns: Polls show Democrats leading Republicans by 24 percentage points on healthcare, and also leading on the deficit, cost of living, economy, immigration, and foreign policy; Republicans lead by 2 percentage points on artificial intelligence. Energy prices, tariffs, data centers, and AI are key issues in this election.
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