JP Morgan forecasts the Bank of Thailand will deliver three 25bp hikes starting in Q1 next year, lifting the policy rate from 1.00% to 1.75% by end-2027 — a notably more hawkish stance than market consensus, which expects the rate to remain at 1.00%

2026-09-28

JP Morgan forecasts the Bank of Thailand will deliver three 25bp hikes starting in Q1 next year, lifting the policy rate from 1.00% to 1.75% by end-2027 — a notably more hawkish stance than market consensus, which expects the rate to remain at 1.00% through 2027. JP Morgan economist Charnon Boonnuch says the call rests on stronger growth and a rebound in inflation. He notes Thailand’s policy rate is currently among the world’s lowest, below Japan. JP Morgan nonetheless expects the BoT to keep rates on hold for the remainder of 2026, citing growth below potential and weak credit that keep near-term hikes difficult.

Other News
2026-09-28

Japan's corporate services price index rose 3.7% year-on-year in August, down from 3.60% in the previous month.

2026-09-28

Domestic News: 1. Han Zheng attended and addressed the 81st UN General Assembly General Debate. 2. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom collectively suspended "free handset purchases." 3. He Yang of the China Academy of Information and Co