Japanese media, citing people familiar with the matter, report the Bank of Japan could raise its policy rate again at the Sept. 17-18 policy meeting after a June increase, citing rising inflation risks driven by rapid AI-related demand growth, a sharp yen depreciation and higher oil prices. Markets had previously expected roughly six-month spacing between hikes. Minutes from the BOJ’s July 30-31 meeting showed some board members urged a faster pace of tightening; one said the pace of policy-rate

2026-08-11

Japanese media, citing people familiar with the matter, report the Bank of Japan could raise its policy rate again at the Sept. 17-18 policy meeting after a June increase, citing rising inflation risks driven by rapid AI-related demand growth, a sharp yen depreciation and higher oil prices. Markets had previously expected roughly six-month spacing between hikes. Minutes from the BOJ’s July 30-31 meeting showed some board members urged a faster pace of tightening; one said the pace of policy-rate increases could exceed market expectations, another said it was necessary to speed up the adjustment of monetary easing.

其他消息
2026-08-11

澳洲聯儲將於十分鐘後公佈利率決議和貨幣政策聲明。

2026-08-11

美聯儲H.15顯示,8月5日30年名義美債收益率爲5.17%,30年TIPS實際收益率爲2.96%,對應盈虧平衡通脹率約2.21%。 真正重要的是收益率上漲的構成。DoubleLine測算,自2023年底以來30年名義收益率上升114bp,其中實際收益率上升107bp,長期通脹補償僅增加約7bp。也就是說,這一輪長債拋售並非市場突然認爲未來30年通脹會失控,而是投資者要求更高的“真實回報”:財政赤字、國債供給、政策不確定性,以及AI、能源、國防等資本需求共同擡高了長期資金價格。 這比單純通脹上升對風險資產更棘手。接近3%的30年實際無風險收益率會直接提高股票、房地產和長期投資項目的折現率,高估值成長資產面臨的估值門檻尤其明顯。不過,盈虧平衡通脹並非純粹的“通脹預期”,還包含通脹風險和流動性溢價;因此結論是:美國長債當前最大的壓力來自實際利率和期限溢價,而不是長期通脹預期失錨。