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US stock futures extended gains after May PCE broadly matched expectations, reinforcing market hopes the Federal Reserve will not be overly hawkish. The Commerce Department reported May PCE +0.4% MoM (Refinitiv survey +0.5%); YoY +4.1% in line with f

2026-06-25

US stock futures extended gains after May PCE broadly matched expectations, reinforcing market hopes the Federal Reserve will not be overly hawkish. The Commerce Department reported May PCE +0.4% MoM (Refinitiv survey +0.5%); YoY +4.1% in line with forecasts. Core PCE rose 0.3% MoM, +3.4% YoY.

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2026-06-25

India's trade minister said a deal with the US was reached on Feb. 6 and teams have been working on the details since.

India's trade minister said a deal with the US was reached on Feb. 6 and teams have been working on the details since.
2026-06-25

Yen weakness, despite policy efforts to halt the fall, could lift aggregate profits at Japanese automakers by about ¥934bn (≈$5.8bn) if the currency stays near current levels. Toyota’s May guidance assumes $1=¥150 versus the current ~¥161; Toyota est

Yen weakness, despite policy efforts to halt the fall, could lift aggregate profits at Japanese automakers by about ¥934bn (≈$5.8bn) if the currency stays near current levels. Toyota’s May guidance assumes $1=¥150 versus the current ~¥161; Toyota estimates each ¥1 depreciation boosts its operating profit by ¥50bn, implying a substantial benefit from continued yen weakness. Other OEM assumptions are more conservative: Honda $1=¥145, Nissan $1=¥150, Subaru and Mazda $1=¥155. In yuan terms of input costs, raw material and energy prices in yen have fallen more than 30% from late‑April peaks after the US‑Iran peace agreement. Analyst Tatsuo Yoshida says the recent developments could be materially positive for firms that already factored Middle East risks into forecasts and that lower gasoline prices may help consumer confidence and support vehicle demand.
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