JPMorgan Chase believes that conditions are emerging for cyclical stocks to regain their outperformance relative to defensive stocks:
1. Hedge funds are currently buying energy stocks, and excluding the technology, media, telecommunications, and financial sectors, the relative net position between cyclical and defensive stocks remains relatively neutral, indicating that cyclical stocks are not significantly "crowded."
2. Retail investor sentiment towards cyclical stocks relative to defensive stocks is also at a low level. If economic growth remains strong, cyclical stocks have the potential to outperform defensive stocks again.
3. This judgment is based on the clear premise that bond yields cannot rise too quickly; otherwise, the market may enter a significant risk-averse state, thereby suppressing the performance of cyclical stocks. (The above views are from JPMorgan Chase's report dated September 9th.)